UNITED KINGDOM – One of the U.K. government’s top scientific advisors declared on October 27th that the number of Covid cases in Britain is already down, likely because adolescents have built up immunity as a result of heading back to school.



Professor John Edmunds, an epidemiologist who serves on the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE), said the increase in infections over the past few months mainly stemmed from “huge numbers of cases” among children.

Last week, health experts estimated that one in every twelve children in England was infected with the virus.

According to Professor Edmunds, the increase in infections “will eventually lead to high levels of immunity in children,” causing infection rates to inevitably plateau and then fall – adding that the U.K. might be “achieving that now”:

“Huge numbers of cases in children have really driven the epidemic in the last few months. I mean really huge numbers of cases in children. And that will eventually lead to high levels of immunity in children, and it may be that we’re achieving that now.”

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Professor Edmunds, who was notoriously pro-lockdown during the epidemic, was the driving force behind the surprisingly hopeful London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine model released earlier this month. It was discovered that instances might begin to decline quickly as early as next month.


The professor’s remarks come amid increased demands to increase vaccination uptake among students in the wake of a wave of outbreaks in schools. Teachers’ unions have expressed their severe displeasure with the program’s sluggish pace, which has only vaccinated 20% of those aged 12 to 15 thus far.

Last week, daily Covid infections in the U.K. surpassed the 50,000 mark for the first time in three months. It spurred medical unions, some scientists, and Labour to demand for the quick implementation of Plan B, which includes obligatory face masks, work-from-home guidelines, and vaccination passports.

However, Covid cases have now dropped for three days in a row. SAGE’s optimistic modeling suggests that infections might drop below 5,000 in the next few months, even without giving in to requests and resorting to restrictive methods to prevent virus transmission.

Scientists believe that a combination of booster vaccines being administered, children’s natural immunity continuing to grow, and a decrease in classroom mixing over the October half-term break will help to reduce instances of new infections.