A survey published by McLaughlin & Associates this week shows former President Donald Trump beating President Joe Biden in a hypothetical 2024 presidential election.

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The respondents were asked, “If the 2024 Presidential election were held today, which of the following best describes how you would vote in the general election for President between Donald Trump, the Republican candidate, and Joe Biden, the Democrat candidate, for whom would you vote?”

Forty-nine percent of respondents say they would vote for Trump, while only 44 percent said Biden. Additionally, 37 percent of Trump supporters said they would “definitely” support Trump, while only 35 percent of Biden supporters would “definitely” support their candidate. Notably, seven percent of those surveyed say they are undecided. This is larger than Trump’s hypothetical five point lead.

Trump’s lead jumps significantly in a hypothetical match-up with either Kamala Harris or Hillary Clinton.

Trump leads Harris in a hypothetical 2024 election 51 percent to 40 percent, and Trump beats Hillary Clinton 51 percent to 41 percent.

Many are questioning whether Joe Biden, who will be 80 years old later this year, should even consider running for reelection in three years considering the controversies surrounding his mental and physical health issues. If he does not, political pundits are asking, who might the Democrat candidate be? Both Kamala and Hillary have both hinted about presidential aspirations, despite their miserable poll numbers. But if not Kamala or Hillary, then who?

In his first year in office, President Biden has seen his poll numbers deteriorating to shocking lows – in some surveys, approval numbers as low as 33 percent.

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All that said, three years is an eternity in politics, and political landscapes can change dramatically in that time.

Former President Trump’s closest allies and family members have suggested that if the GOP does well in the midterm elections later this fall, Trump will be all-in for the 2024 Presidential election.

The only thing we know for sure: 2024 should be a wild and exciting political year.

This piece was written by Steve T on January 23, 2022. It originally appeared in Objectivist.co and is used by permission.

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